In The News Today...

Quote: terapined

WTF
Talk about jumping the shark
Kennedys are life long Dems
WTF WTF WTF

Good gravy! From your previous post, I thought you meant the band and thought to myself, "Why would they be Trump supporters?"

It's hard to believe Terry McAuliffe actually said the parents should have no say in what schools teach their children. He doesn't look like a moron, yet he said this more than once. Talk about killing your chances of getting elected, why didn't he just announce he was a Communist/Marxist because that's what they believe.

Quote: Evenbob

It's hard to believe Terry McAuliffe actually said the parents should have no say in what schools teach their children. He doesn't look like a moron, yet he said this more than once. Talk about killing your chances of getting elected, why didn't he just announce he was a Communist/Marxist because that's what they believe.

Weird that I somewhat agree with EB, but I think Dem governors who are up in 2022 can learn A LOT from the mistakes McAuliffe made RE: education.

Quote: Evenbob

It's hard to believe Terry McAuliffe actually said the parents should have no say in what schools teach their children.

Dunno and don't care about what he said.

My point: science needs to be caught in public schools, and not religion or religious based superstitions such as the creation myth as laid out in the bible.

Let's keep it real, people.

Virginia Election Results and Exit Polling

I don't really care who Virginia's Governor is, mostly owing to the fact that I don't live there, but I thought that the difference in results was interesting. For that reason, I decided to look into exit polls and compare with 2020 to see if I could find the disparities:

First, the results so far

Youngkin (R): 1,675,832 (50.7%)--------Donald Trump (R) 1,962,430 (44%)
McAuliffe: (D) 1,603,588 (48.6%)--------Joe Biden (D) 2,413,568 (54.11%)

The first thing that we notice is a drop off in the number of people who actually voted, but that's quite typical for all elections that are not the General Presidential Election, so no real surprise there. My eyeball says that the relative percentage to vote is kind of high compared to a POTUS Election, but I could be wrong about that and didn't really do an actual comparison.

Let's get into some Exit Polls:

https://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2021/virginia/governor/exit-poll/

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/virginia

Party ID Democrat---Governor----96%/4% McAuliffe (35% of voters)
Party ID Republican---Governor---96%/4% Youngkin (34% of voters)
Party ID Independent/Other---Governor---54%/45% Youngkin (31% of voters)

Party ID Democrat---POTUS---96%/4% Biden (36% of voters)
Party ID Republican---POTUS---90%/9% Trump (34% of voters)
Party ID Independent/Other---POTUS---57%/38% Biden (30% of voters)

With that, we see that representation by Party Identification is roughly the same with the percentage of Independents being 1% higher and Democrats 1% lower than in the POTUS Election for 2020, but that's obviously going to be well within the margin of error in both cases.

I think that the one thing that we will see is a difference in turnout based on racial demographics, as differences in gender (+1% Female, -1% Male, for Governor as opposed to POTUS) are both negligible and well-within any margin of error.

With that, let's turn our attention to race, where we will see some differences:

Race---White---Governor 61%/38% Youngkin (74% of voters)
Race---Black---Governor 87%/13% McAuliffe (16% of voters)
Race---Hispanic/Latino---Governor 68%/31% McAuliffe (5% of voters)
Race---Asian---Governor 66%/34% McAuliffe (3% of voters)
Race---Other---Governor (2% of voters, results not reported as statistically insignificant...I assume)

Race---White---POTUS 53%/45% Trump (67% of voters)
Race---Black---POTUS 89%/10% Biden (18% of voters)
Race---Hispanic/Latino---POTUS 61%/36% Biden (7% of voters)
Race---Asian---POTUS 60%/38% Biden (4% of voters)
Race---Other---POTUS 50%/43% Biden (3% of voters)

With that, we see that, despite the fact that minorities (other than black) were actually slightly more likely to vote for McAuliffe than Biden, it didn't matter as they would only represent 26% of total voters as opposed to the 32% that were minorities in 2020 POTUS election.

We see that black people were more slightly more likely to prefer Youngkin to Trump, by the percentages. Further, we see that white voters were meaningfully more likely to prefer Youngkin to Trump.

So, you have white voters turning out as a larger percentage of the voter population---who are more likely to vote Republican anyway, and also preferred Youngkin to Trump by something like 8%. Black people turned out as a slightly lesser percentage, but also preferred Youngkin to Trump slightly. Other minorities seemed to have preferred McAuliffe to Biden slightly, but their turnout for the Gubernatorial race was only 10% compared to 14% in the POTUS race.

Independents/Other, particularly black and white Independents/Other, I would assume, seem to have broken heavily for Youngkin as compared to how they voted for Trump. Youngkin not only won amongst Independents, but compared to 2020 POTUS, actually gained a remarkable 16% where Democrats lost 12% compared to the Presidential Election.

My quick take on this is that running a reasonable human being usually works pretty well if you want to attract the Independent vote and moderates. Donald Trump is not a reasonable human being and, without knowing anything else about him, I'm forced to assume that Youngkin is...or more reasonable than Trump anyway.

It also probably helps that only 4% of Youngkin's own party voted directly for the other guy as opposed to 9% for Trump.

Quote: rxwine

So, JCW09, you'll go for all the socialist policies if we export our oil and coal?

I want to drill our oil & vast natural gas resources and use the tax revenue generated to help offset current deficits & pay down debt.
I want nuclear energy to be the primary way to immediately reduce carbon emissions in the US via electricity generation.
And I want renewable energy to continue to advance as a viable companion electrical energy source for the US & the World.
I want increased battery research & development to continue including figuring out what to do with spent battery waste.
A number of private companies working on battery technology, someone will figure this out because it will be profitable to do so.

The "social policies" being proposed by the Left are simply a move towards "cradle to grave" Socialism.
I don't want universal Pre-K, free Community College, extended Child Tax Credits, Enhanced FML Benefits or any of the other hand outs.
It isn't the role of the federal government to enforce "wealth transfer" payments for any of this $hit.
You should move to Norway if that is your idea of a happy life or the federal government's role in all of our lives.
They believe in all of these types of socialist program BS.

Totally impressed with the new lieutenant governor of Virginia, Winsome Sears. She is a very intelligent very accomplished middle-aged black woman that the mainstream media is totally terrified of. They are not covering her win at all in the liberal media, CNN, MSNBC, none of them are even mentioning her. She is a Jamaican immigrant, former Marine, gun rights activist, super smart super outspoken totally non-racist, anti-racist, anti-woke, she is a force to be dealt with and the liberal media is scared to death of her. I'm seeing in different places that the Virginia election was not a referendum on Biden or Trump. It was a referendum on how sick we are of wokeness. The American people have had enough, wokeness destroys whatever it touches. Winsome Sears list of accomplishments is amazing, how does she ever find the time. She says she's as black as Black can be and she's not a victim. I think we're going to be hearing a lot more from this woman.

Quote: Evenbob

Totally impressed with the new lieutenant governor of Virginia, Winsome Sears. She is a very intelligent very accomplished middle-aged black woman that the mainstream media is totally terrified of. They are not covering her win at all in the liberal media, CNN, MSNBC, none of them are even mentioning her. She is a Jamaican immigrant, former Marine, gun rights activist, super smart super outspoken totally non-racist, anti-racist, anti-woke, she is a force to be dealt with and the liberal media is scared to death of her. I'm seeing in different places that the Virginia election was not a referendum on Biden or Trump. It was a referendum on how sick we are of wokeness. The American people have had enough, wokeness destroys whatever it touches. Winsome Sears list of accomplishments is amazing, how does she ever find the time. She says she's as black a damns Black can be and she's not a victim. I think we're going to be hearing a lot more from this woman.

Apparently, she's also the first black woman to hold a statewide office in the state. I just read a couple of little blurbs about her and I like her so far.

That said, I don't expect to hear much from her since nobody will really be talking about the Virginia Gubernatorial Election in three days, or so, and she's also the Lieutenant Governor of a state I don't live in.

I'm very happy for her, though. Her bio reads of someone who goes out there and gets it for herself. I agree with you that she should be lauded as an example of empowerment...if the Far Left were at all consistent, of course.

Youngkin seems pretty reasonable, by Christian standards. I agree with a large percentage of his policy positions, but don't care, as they will have no impact on me.

Want to know why the media is terrified of Winsome Sears? Watch this interview. This is not how black people are supposed to talk in the Democrat universe.