Democratic debates

November 12th, 2019 at 7:05:04 AM permalink
Gandler
Member since: Aug 15, 2019
Threads: 27
Posts: 4256
Quote: ams288
I disagree, and have seen no polling data to back up your theory.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2019/11/04/upshot/trump-biden-warren-polls.amp.html

Literally all of the data indicates that like Clinton, she would hand the election to Trump.
November 12th, 2019 at 7:06:50 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12500
From 11/7:

Quote:
Current RCP averages vs Trump:

Biden: +10.2
Sanders: +7.9
Warren: +7.3

RCP margin for Clinton on this day in 2015: +2.2


What if all of the front runners are “electable” and the Dems should just focus on who would be the best President?

Screw those “soft moderates” who are trying to hold the Dems hostage. 2020 will be about turning out the base - those Dems who stayed home in 2016. Will Biden motivate those people?
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
November 12th, 2019 at 7:09:32 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12500
Quote: Gandler
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2019/11/04/upshot/trump-biden-warren-polls.amp.html

Literally all of the data indicates that like Clinton, she would hand the election to Trump.


That is one poll from last week. Widely seen as an outlier. Not “literally all” the data. Another poll of the swing states came out the next day (or two) that had Warren doing better than Biden in most of those states.

“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
November 12th, 2019 at 7:14:40 AM permalink
Gandler
Member since: Aug 15, 2019
Threads: 27
Posts: 4256
Quote: ams288
That is one poll from last week. Widely seen as an outlier. Not “literally all” the data. Another poll of the swing states came out the next day (or two) that had Warren doing better than Biden in most of those states.



Well then she is improving from the polls several months ago, she was not looking good at all.
November 12th, 2019 at 8:23:17 AM permalink
SOOPOO
Member since: Feb 19, 2014
Threads: 22
Posts: 4169
Quote: ams288
That is one poll from last week. Widely seen as an outlier. Not “literally all” the data. Another poll of the swing states came out the next day (or two) that had Warren doing better than Biden in most of those states.



Thanks. This is a poll with meaning. The national polls are irrelevant. The Dems are ahead, but it's pretty damn close with a full year to go. Why isn't Ohio listed? I've always thought it was the prototypical swing state.
November 12th, 2019 at 9:32:52 AM permalink
Tripdufan
Member since: Oct 3, 2019
Threads: 0
Posts: 710
No mention of Mayor Pete? That'll change soon enough.
November 12th, 2019 at 10:13:11 AM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 146
Posts: 25011
Youse guys are HILARIOUS! So many
of you think polls mean something
at this point, with the election
a YEAR away. Did you learn NOTHING
in 2016? Hillary was the guaranteed
winner ONE DAY before the election,
the polls said.

The only poll worth a crap is rally
attendance. If Trump keeps filling
stadiums, and getting 10 min standing
ovations at FB games, nobody on the
planet can beat him.
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
November 12th, 2019 at 10:58:36 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 12500
Quote: Tripdufan
No mention of Mayor Pete? That'll change soon enough.


New Monmouth poll of Iowa has Mayor Pete in the lead there.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
November 12th, 2019 at 12:07:43 PM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 146
Posts: 25011
Quote: ams288
New Monmouth poll of Iowa has Mayor Pete in the lead there.


But what does that mean a year
away from the election?

ABSOLUTELY NOTHING!!!

LOLOLOLOLOLOL

3 or 4 months ago Beeto was a big
contender, he was up in the polls and all
over cable news. Today when he gets
his teeth cleaned nobody cares.
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
November 12th, 2019 at 12:41:41 PM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 189
Posts: 18751
What does a trump rally mean a year before an election. Nothing.
You believe in an invisible god, and dismiss people who say they are trans? Really?