Democratic debates

September 8th, 2019 at 5:28:57 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 13466
Quote: SOOPOO
Remember, it was only a few hundred thousand votes in the 'battleground' states that made the difference between Mr. President and Madam President.


Way less than a few hundred thousand. Roughly 77,000.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
September 8th, 2019 at 5:41:03 AM permalink
Dalex64
Member since: Mar 8, 2014
Threads: 3
Posts: 3687
There are multiple categories of voters who may have made a difference if you selectively reallocate their votes afterwords.
Both of them had third party candidates take votes away from them in various states.

I think the biggest one is the number of people who didn't vote at all. Who knows who they would have voted for? I don't think there are a lot of polls that would clue you in, and informal polls where you get answers like "I don't think my vote would make a difference" indicates to me that you'd have a hard time getting a representative sample to answer a poll.

As for how many votes by a group made a difference, I think you would also need to look state by state and see if their votes would have made an electoral vote difference. For example, vote crossover in California or Texas hardly matter at all, but the ones in those "battleground states" do.

Soopoo wants to blame democrats. I want to blame third party voters in the close states who would have voted for Clinton.
"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts." Daniel Patrick Moynihan
September 8th, 2019 at 7:25:23 AM permalink
SOOPOO
Member since: Feb 19, 2014
Threads: 25
Posts: 5748
Quote: Dalex64
There are multiple categories of voters who may have made a difference if you selectively reallocate their votes afterwords.
Both of them had third party candidates take votes away from them in various states.

I think the biggest one is the number of people who didn't vote at all. Who knows who they would have voted for? I don't think there are a lot of polls that would clue you in, and informal polls where you get answers like "I don't think my vote would make a difference" indicates to me that you'd have a hard time getting a representative sample to answer a poll.

As for how many votes by a group made a difference, I think you would also need to look state by state and see if their votes would have made an electoral vote difference. For example, vote crossover in California or Texas hardly matter at all, but the ones in those "battleground states" do.

Soopoo wants to blame democrats. I want to blame third party voters in the close states who would have voted for Clinton.


Agree with above. There are a bunch of possibilities. We can both be correct simultaneously. It is always the easiest to list turnout as a reason someone lost. Given a third of all eligible voters don't vote (something like that...) it is quite easy to make a model showing landslides for either candidate if they can get their side to vote at 90% as an example.
September 8th, 2019 at 7:34:21 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
Quote: Dalex64


Soopoo wants to blame democrats. I want to blame third party voters in the close states who would have voted for Clinton.


Why not just blame Clinton for running an awful campaign? She had everything going for her and blew it. Biggest loss in a fix since Ron Shaw beat David Sammartino.
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength
September 8th, 2019 at 8:24:11 AM permalink
Dalex64
Member since: Mar 8, 2014
Threads: 3
Posts: 3687
Quote: AZDuffman
Why not just blame Clinton for running an awful campaign? She had everything going for her and blew it. Biggest loss in a fix since Ron Shaw beat David Sammartino.


I'd go a step before that and blame democrats for picking her in the first place, in apparently rigged process.

Looks like the Republicans this time around want to go with straight-up disenfranchisement by reducing or eliminating Republican caucauses or primaries. I suppose it is more honest to not give someone a vote in the candidate selection process rather than rigging the results.
"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts." Daniel Patrick Moynihan
September 8th, 2019 at 8:27:48 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
Quote: Dalex64
I'd go a step before that and blame democrats for picking her in the first place, in apparently rigged process.

Looks like the Republicans this time around want to go with straight-up disenfranchisement by reducing or eliminating Republican caucauses or primaries. I suppose it is more honest to not give someone a vote in the candidate selection process rather than rigging the results.


Really no need for a primary when you are the party in power.

We told you Dems that it was rigged for Hillary but we got poo-poohed. We were right all along. FWIW her Senate primary was rigged as well.
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength
September 8th, 2019 at 9:25:05 AM permalink
Dalex64
Member since: Mar 8, 2014
Threads: 3
Posts: 3687
Quote: AZDuffman
Really no need for a primary when you are the party in power.

We told you Dems that it was rigged for Hillary but we got poo-poohed. We were right all along. FWIW her Senate primary was rigged as well.


I am not a democrat.
"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts." Daniel Patrick Moynihan
September 8th, 2019 at 9:57:19 AM permalink
Shrek
Member since: Aug 13, 2019
Threads: 10
Posts: 1855
Quote: Dalex64
I am not a democrat.

September 8th, 2019 at 10:13:14 AM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 148
Posts: 25978
Quote: Shrek


+1
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
September 8th, 2019 at 10:45:09 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
Quote: Evenbob
Quote: Shrek


+1


+1
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength