The Coronavirus thread
Poll
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15 members have voted
August 5th, 2020 at 7:18:32 AM permalink | |
kenarman Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 14 Posts: 4530 |
Not sure where you get your .0024 number from. That is about 1/4 of 1% which seems a much lower death rate than we are getting. "but if you make yourselves sheep, the wolves will eat you." Benjamin Franklin |
August 5th, 2020 at 7:28:15 AM permalink | |
AZDuffman Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 135 Posts: 18222 |
Probably pretty close to reality when you back out the deaths that china virus is only "part of" or jut put in to inflate numbers. The President is a fink. |
August 5th, 2020 at 7:39:21 AM permalink | |
ams288 Member since: Apr 21, 2016 Threads: 29 Posts: 12550 |
Why are you still posting in this thread? I thought you said we’d all have forgotten about the virus by May... “A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman |
August 5th, 2020 at 10:15:22 AM permalink | |
Tanko Member since: Aug 15, 2019 Threads: 0 Posts: 1988 | The author mentions that is the CDC estimate. "Overall probability of dying if infected = .0024 (approximately 1/400)" The author provided a link and explained how the CDC determined the estimate. "In fact, the CDC recently updated their analysis of the probability of dying after infection and their best estimate is now slightly under 0.3%. The CDC has even broken this probability out by age category and tried to take into account an additional confounding problem with some of the original IFR studies – that a large number of infected individuals show no symptoms at all." |
August 5th, 2020 at 11:18:17 AM permalink | |
JimRockford Member since: Sep 18, 2015 Threads: 2 Posts: 971 |
Apparently .0024 was the IFR estimate from CDC at the time that paper was written. The CDC now says it's .0065. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html#box The reference they site for the estimate is a paper that puts it at .0068 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v4 Since it changes so much and the CDC calls it a "Current Best Estimate", it's hard for me to believe anyone has any idea what it is. The mind hungers for that on which it feeds. |
August 5th, 2020 at 2:15:01 PM permalink | |
JCW09 Member since: Aug 27, 2018 Threads: 12 Posts: 847 | The overall IFR is not useful. We know age and co-morbidity factors matter. IFR is ridiculously low when you look at infections of those under 30. IFR if you are under 65 will be less than the flu. You get above 65 and collectively, IFR is scary at 5-6%. Old people & the immuno-compromised should lock down from work and others. The rest of us get on with our lives. Wear masks, wash your hands & social distance. while you're doing life. Which is what is happening despite all the hand wringing & outrage. Dems are banking on outrage over a pandemic that kills the elderly & offer a frail, basement dwelling Biden puppet as the alternative. I wish them luck selling that package to the American public in November. Def. of Liar - "A Person Who Tells Lies" / "I lied. Deal with it" - ams288 |
August 5th, 2020 at 2:32:32 PM permalink | |
terapined Member since: Aug 6, 2014 Threads: 73 Posts: 11820 |
LOL Those left alive in the country already bought the package. The axios interview did not help. What are you doing here.
Aren't you embarrassed to be posting here? Are there 2 JC's like there are 2 EB's lol South Korea 300 total deaths. USA 1k a day. Any comment? Its sad how many have died in this country due to Trump not taking the virus seriously. Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World" |
August 5th, 2020 at 6:42:00 PM permalink | |
Shrek Member since: Aug 13, 2019 Threads: 6 Posts: 1635 | +1,000 Unfortunately, libbies don't care about people losing their jobs and not being able to feed their families (which is most certainly a health issue). 🙄 |
August 6th, 2020 at 3:17:32 AM permalink | |
AZDuffman Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 135 Posts: 18222 |
If this were the 70s we would not have near this level of hysteria. Even with no tech to work at home then we would be being told to get out and get on with your life. Precautions at nursing homes and such yes. But no able bodied people allowed to sit at home afraid to leave the house. America has gone soft. The President is a fink. |
August 6th, 2020 at 9:11:55 AM permalink | |
kenarman Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 14 Posts: 4530 | Very good article about Chloroquinine and how the US has suffered by using it at first improperly (late rather than early in the course of the disease) and how those nations using it have a significantly lower death rate. The article also identifies all the false studies that were later retracted but are still being promoted by the MSM in order to bash Trump. It is the a shame that thousands have died because of lack of use of this drug because the Democrats would sooner get rid of Trump than save lives. Article "but if you make yourselves sheep, the wolves will eat you." Benjamin Franklin |