2019 Deadpool

February 19th, 2019 at 10:52:32 AM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 138
Posts: 21987
Karl Lagerfeld, 85. Another Gay designer
bites the dust. He was raised in Nazi
Germany by a rich family and became
one of the most well known fashion
designers in the world. He was very
critical of women's weight, calling
Adele 'fat'.
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
February 19th, 2019 at 2:38:34 PM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 23, 2012
Threads: 227
Posts: 5730
Quote: AZDuffman
Statistically, wonder when the last WWII vet will die?


Let's see, the war ended in 1945. I'm too lazy to look up how many men served, so will go with a guestimate of 100,000. About 0.67% will reach 100, which will be in 2025, assuming the solider was 20 in 1945. That gets us down to 670. Actuarial tables get kind of fuzzy after 100, but the chances of dying in any year after that is about 1/3. So, here is how many will be left in each year:

2026: 223
2027: 74
2028: 25
2029: 8
2030: 3
2031: 1

Granted some of them were older than 20 or were done by 1945.

To go with a round number, I'm going to say the last WWII vet will die in 2030, when I will turn 65.
Knowledge is Good -- Emil Faber
February 19th, 2019 at 3:41:51 PM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 128
Posts: 13333
Quote: Wizard
Let's see, the war ended in 1945. I'm too lazy to look up how many men served, so will go with a guestimate of 100,000. About 0.67% will reach 100, which will be in 2025, assuming the solider was 20 in 1945. That gets us down to 670. Actuarial tables get kind of fuzzy after 100, but the chances of dying in any year after that is about 1/3. So, here is how many will be left in each year:

2026: 223
2027: 74
2028: 25
2029: 8
2030: 3
2031: 1

Granted some of them were older than 20 or were done by 1945.

To go with a round number, I'm going to say the last WWII vet will die in 2030, when I will turn 65.



I think it was about 6 million served and I always figured the youngest was born in about 1932 as many lied about their age. But thanks for that math as I had no idea what your chances of getting to 100 were.

A side question, did your job at SS ever get depressing basically dealing with death all the time? Not sure if you ever said that before.
The man who damns money has obtained it dishonorably; the man who respects it has earned it
February 19th, 2019 at 6:34:08 PM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 23, 2012
Threads: 227
Posts: 5730
Quote: AZDuffman
A side question, did your job at SS ever get depressing basically dealing with death all the time? Not sure if you ever said that before.


No! We actuaries love counting dead people.
Knowledge is Good -- Emil Faber
February 20th, 2019 at 4:40:17 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 128
Posts: 13333
Quote: Wizard
No! We actuaries love counting dead people.


And I spend all my time looking at old deeds. No wonder you guys pick up the girls and us landmen don't.
The man who damns money has obtained it dishonorably; the man who respects it has earned it
February 21st, 2019 at 9:16:03 AM permalink
fleaswatter
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1
Posts: 542
Peter Tork, endearingly offbeat bassist and singer in the Monkees, dies at 77

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/obituaries/peter-tork-endearingly-offbeat-bassist-and-singer-in-the-monkees-dies-at-77/2019/02/21/479cf4ae-35ee-11e9-854a-7a14d7fec96a_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.ab0587b751bf

Quote:
Peter Tork, a blues and folk musician who became a teeny-bopper sensation as a member of the Monkees, the wisecracking, made-for-TV pop group that imitated and briefly outsold the Beatles, died Feb. 21. He was 77.
sleepy Joe has dementia
February 21st, 2019 at 9:26:44 AM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 52
Posts: 6504
Quote: fleaswatter



The 1st band I became a fan of
Loved the Monkees
My evolution of favorite bands as I grew up

Monkees as a kid
Beatles as a young teen
Pink Floyd as a older teen
Grateful Dead as an adult
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
February 21st, 2019 at 10:59:41 AM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 138
Posts: 21987
Quote: fleaswatter
Peter Tork, endearingly offbeat bassist and singer in the Monkees,


Mike Nesmith, still alive, his mom invented
Liquid Paper in the 50's. IBM turned it down
and she marketed it herself, selling the
company in 1979 for $49 mil. Talk about
a product nobody needs anymore.
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
February 21st, 2019 at 1:31:32 PM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 52
Posts: 6504
Saw Peter Tork live about 15 years ago in St Pete playing with his band Shoe Suede Blues
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
February 21st, 2019 at 1:38:50 PM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 128
Posts: 13333
Quote: Evenbob
Mike Nesmith, still alive, his mom invented
Liquid Paper in the 50's. IBM turned it down
and she marketed it herself, selling the
company in 1979 for $49 mil. Talk about
a product nobody needs anymore.


I need it from time to time and once had a hard time finding it.
The man who damns money has obtained it dishonorably; the man who respects it has earned it