China update

Page 1 of 212>
July 23rd, 2024 at 3:47:08 PM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 57
Posts: 5896
Does anyone else see a potential civil war in China over the next few months?

Did Xi have a stroke last week?

Will Chinese exports be dropping by close to 50% next year?

What will happen to the Yuan over the next year?
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a deterrent.
July 23rd, 2024 at 4:06:44 PM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
Not next few months, but over next decades I feel it will start to come apart. The coasts will break into a few countries, the interior will languish in poverty.
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength
July 23rd, 2024 at 4:45:54 PM permalink
GenoDRPh
Member since: Aug 24, 2023
Threads: 5
Posts: 2828
If there's going to be unrest in China, it's going to come from the elite already in government. The populice has too little power for a popular uprising, unless the authorities or military leadership back them.

May you live in interesting times...
July 23rd, 2024 at 5:21:14 PM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 76
Posts: 12501
Quote: GenoDRPh
If there's going to be unrest in China, it's going to come from the elite already in government. The populice has too little power for a popular uprising, unless the authorities or military leadership back them.

May you live in interesting times...

I agree
Looks to me Xi is solidly in charge
There is massive corruption in China, especially the military
Xi just sacked 2 defense ministers
That's power
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
July 23rd, 2024 at 5:54:19 PM permalink
GenoDRPh
Member since: Aug 24, 2023
Threads: 5
Posts: 2828
Quote: terapined
I agree
Looks to me Xi is solidly in charge
There is massive corruption in China, especially the military
Xi just sacked 2 defense ministers
That's power


Xi as removed practically everyone with any competence in governing or running a cabinet or government department. He considers them threats to his power.
July 24th, 2024 at 5:07:33 AM permalink
odiousgambit
Member since: Oct 28, 2012
Threads: 165
Posts: 6374
Quote: GenoDRPh
Xi as removed practically everyone with any competence in governing or running a cabinet or government department. He considers them threats to his power.
Shades of Stalin?
I'm Still Standing, Yeah, Yeah, Yeah [it's an old guy chant for me]
July 24th, 2024 at 3:58:37 PM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 57
Posts: 5896
Quote: GenoDRPh
If there's going to be unrest in China, it's going to come from the elite already in government. The populice has too little power for a popular uprising, unless the authorities or military leadership back them.

May you live in interesting times...


If it happens it will have to be led by military. Also, don't be surprised if Xi takes back Manchuria from the Russians.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a deterrent.
July 24th, 2024 at 5:48:46 PM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 217
Posts: 22933
I feel like I must have missed some news about China. This thread seemed to come out of nowhere.
"Trumpsplain (def.) explaining absolute nonsense said by TRUMP.
July 25th, 2024 at 1:26:28 PM permalink
DRich
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 57
Posts: 5896
Quote: rxwine
I feel like I must have missed some news about China. This thread seemed to come out of nowhere.


Sorry, just a lot happening in China and very few people talk about it. Their demographics are so bad their population will probably shrink by 50% in the next 20 years.
At my age a Life In Prison sentence is not much of a deterrent.
July 26th, 2024 at 3:34:14 AM permalink
Tanko
Member since: Aug 15, 2019
Threads: 0
Posts: 2470
'Black swan': China president warns of impending chaos

This FT article is behind a paywall. Copy and paste in Google to read it.

'Younger Chinese fume at call to raise retirement age'

"Chinese retirement ages are low by advanced economy standards: 50 years for female blue-collar workers, 55 for female white-collar employees, and 60 for all males."

Beijing subway. Or possibly #7 train in Flushing, Queens. Hard to tell.

Page 1 of 212>