Democratic Nominee in 2020

Poll
No votes (0%)
4 votes (18.18%)
2 votes (9.09%)
1 vote (4.54%)
No votes (0%)
1 vote (4.54%)
1 vote (4.54%)
8 votes (36.36%)
2 votes (9.09%)
3 votes (13.63%)

22 members have voted

May 6th, 2020 at 8:51:30 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 13466
Quote: Pacomartin
29 Florida
20 Pennsylvania
16 Michigan
15 North Carolina
11 Arizona
10 Wisconsin
1 Nebraska
----
102 tossup electoral college votes (Biden needs 38 to win 2020 election

Very small change in the 270 to win electoral college map. A single district in Nebraska that went Republican in 2012 and 2016, but voted for Obama in 2008 has moved to the toss-up category.

Biden needs to push one or two of these states to "leaning Democrat" before the election or people will think he has no chance.


Michigan and PA are certainly leaning Democrat this year.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
May 6th, 2020 at 9:13:29 AM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 148
Posts: 25978
Quote: ams288
You mean this Morning Consult poll?

Trump Job Approval:
Approve 42%
Disapprove 52%
.


The more polls that favor Biden
the better. We learned that lesson
4 years ago. Some of us did, anyway.
lol
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
May 6th, 2020 at 9:15:49 AM permalink
SOOPOO
Member since: Feb 19, 2014
Threads: 25
Posts: 5746
Quote: Pacomartin
29 Florida
20 Pennsylvania
16 Michigan
15 North Carolina
11 Arizona
10 Wisconsin
1 Nebraska
----
102 tossup electoral college votes (Biden needs 38 to win 2020 election

Very small change in the 270 to win electoral college map. A single district in Nebraska that went Republican in 2012 and 2016, but voted for Obama in 2008 has moved to the toss-up category.

Biden needs to push one or two of these states to "leaning Democrat" before the election or people will think he has no chance.


Wouldn't Biden be favored in all those now? Possibly except Arizona?
May 6th, 2020 at 9:30:31 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 13466
Quote: SOOPOO
Wouldn't Biden be favored in all those now? Possibly except Arizona?


Biden’s been doing better in AZ polls than WI polls.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
May 6th, 2020 at 10:02:08 AM permalink
Shrek
Member since: Aug 13, 2019
Threads: 10
Posts: 1855
Quote: AZDuffman
"Only" 30-40%?!?! That is still an alarming number. But it is also why we are currently in a "cold" Civil War at the moment. Said 30-40% are sadly probably concentrated in "influencer" positions like pols, media, college profs, etc.
................and internet users!! 😂😂
May 6th, 2020 at 10:41:20 AM permalink
Evenbob
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 148
Posts: 25978
Just saw a media compilation from Biden's 1988
presidential run and some of the spectacular
lies he told about his past. How he was in
the top half of his law school class, and
graduated with 3 degree's. All BS. Then
there were the plagiarism scandals that
really killed his bid in 88. He has a long
history going back to college of stealing
material and claiming it's his own. He
even did it for the debates in 88.

Now tell us how bad Trump is, we can
hardly wait. Yawn..
If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose.
May 6th, 2020 at 11:13:30 AM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 76
Posts: 12501
Quote: ams288
Biden’s been doing better in AZ polls than WI polls.

Mark Kelly the astronaut running for Senate is also doing well in AZ and will turn that seat from Rep to Dem
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
May 6th, 2020 at 11:30:40 AM permalink
SOOPOO
Member since: Feb 19, 2014
Threads: 25
Posts: 5746
Quote: terapined
Mark Kelly the astronaut running for Senate is also doing well in AZ and will turn that seat from Rep to Dem


Yowza! He is up by 9 percent. Even if Trump turns his race around and the virus is mitigated and the economy returns, that is quite a deficit to make up. From what I understand it is more based on the two candidates specifically as opposed to a Red/Blue thing.
May 6th, 2020 at 11:45:27 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 13466
Quote: SOOPOO
Yowza! He is up by 9 percent. Even if Trump turns his race around and the virus is mitigated and the economy returns, that is quite a deficit to make up. From what I understand it is more based on the two candidates specifically as opposed to a Red/Blue thing.


She lost her race in 2018 To Kyrsten Sinema and then the AZ Gov appointed her to John McCain’s seat.

Americans don’t like losers. It would have been smarter for him to appoint some other republican to that seat.

The AZ and CO Senate races are the easiest shots for Dem pickups. Alabama will be a GOP pickup.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
May 6th, 2020 at 11:50:28 AM permalink
RonC
Member since: Nov 7, 2012
Threads: 9
Posts: 2582
Quote: SOOPOO
Yowza! He is up by 9 percent. Even if Trump turns his race around and the virus is mitigated and the economy returns, that is quite a deficit to make up. From what I understand it is more based on the two candidates specifically as opposed to a Red/Blue thing.


I'm not all that surprised that Kelly is leading. McSally was appointed after the guy appointed to serve out McCain's term resigned. She had just lost the statewide election for the other seat to Sinema two months before her appointment.

"The website, a nonpartisan project of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, attributed the move to recent polling on the race, Kelly’s fundraising advantage, McSally’s 2018 loss to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, and her struggle to translate her background as a retired Air Force colonel and former combat pilot, to her Senate candidacy."

https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/04/03/coronavirus-upends-arizonasenate-race-between-martha-mcsally-and-mark-kelly-covid-19/2939138001/