GO TRUMPER! GO TRUMPER! GO TRUMPER!

January 30th, 2017 at 8:38:08 PM permalink
buzzardknot
Member since: Mar 16, 2015
Threads: 7
Posts: 497
Gee, another first for Trump. I wonder if the Gallop poll, picked him or Hillary as the next President ? So much for accuracy.
January 30th, 2017 at 9:15:41 PM permalink
Dalex64
Member since: Mar 8, 2014
Threads: 3
Posts: 3687
In case anybody is interested in learning about polls, margins of error, and how accurate they have been recently and in the past:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-you-trust-polling-in-the-age-of-trump/

http://www.spokesman.com/stories/2017/jan/20/how-polls-were-right-about-election-predictions-we/
"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts." Daniel Patrick Moynihan
January 30th, 2017 at 9:36:44 PM permalink
stinkingliberal
Member since: Nov 9, 2016
Threads: 17
Posts: 731
Quote: buzzardknot
Gee, another first for Trump. I wonder if the Gallop poll, picked him or Hillary as the next President ? So much for accuracy.


Polls don't "pick" winners. They estimate which candidate has a better chance of winning. The polls never said that Trump couldn't win, only that it was less likely than Clinton winning. This is what Trumpers, being dim, don't understand. If you say that one thing has a 70% chance of occurring while the opposite thing has a 30% chance of occurring, then the less likely thing happens, it doesn't mean that you were "wrong."

The polls appear to have been VERY accurate regarding the only thing they ever purported to measure, which was each candidate's chances of winning. That the underdog won doesn't invalidate those assessments. It's like a sportsbook making one team a 7-point favorite and the other team wins outright. Was the line "wrong" or "inaccurate"? Of course not. Again, though, Trumpers aren't capable of understanding this. I'll exclude Pence from that statement, as he said after the election that he and Trump had been huge underdogs and that their win was highly improbable.
January 31st, 2017 at 6:46:57 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 13466
Quote: Dalex64
Even his Rasmussen numbers are plummeting now. Down to 53% approve, 47% disapprove, with a presidential approval index rating of -1.

So no shooting way over 60 yet.

As for the Gallup poll, the one that I referred to in the past, Trump hit the "majority disapprove" faster than any other president since they have been tracking that poll. 42% approve, 51% disapprove.
He did it in 8 days. The 2nd fastest to get to majority disapproval was Bill Clinton, in 573 days.


He will never shoot way over 60. That's a rightie fever dream.

The Rasmussen poll is an outlier (as it usually is). There's a reason Republicans always have to cite Rasmussen polls and pretend literally every other poll is "fake news." Maybe he will get over 60 someday in the Rasmussen poll - but in the RCP average of all the polls, never.

Donald is never going to be "beloved" as EB dreams he is.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman
January 31st, 2017 at 7:36:31 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 346
Posts: 12545
Quote: ams288
Donald is never going to be "beloved" as EB dreams he is.


There are things he could do to increase his popularity among the vast majority of voters who oppose him.

For instance, he could start with suicide and go on from there.
Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER
February 5th, 2017 at 11:16:04 PM permalink
YeahBaby
Member since: May 24, 2016
Threads: 5
Posts: 366
looks like Trumper's magic rubbbed off on tom brady!!!!!!!!!!

brady kicked atlanta ass just like Trumper kicked Hillary's ass!!
HELL YEAH LOL!!!!!
February 5th, 2017 at 11:32:54 PM permalink
stinkingliberal
Member since: Nov 9, 2016
Threads: 17
Posts: 731
Quote: YeahBaby
looks like Trumper's magic rubbbed off on tom brady!!!!!!!!!!

brady kicked atlanta ass just like Trumper kicked Hillary's ass!!
HELL YEAH LOL!!!!!


I do have to admire Trump's ability to rig a football game. A few million here, a few million there...
February 7th, 2017 at 4:50:04 AM permalink
AZDuffman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 137
Posts: 21195
Nancy Pelosi Says She Can’t Work With ‘President Bush’

Either she is completely lost her mind or they just uploaded an old speech and did not change the name since it is the same thing the Democrats say whenever a Republican is elected. She might think it is still 1989 for all we know.
War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength
February 7th, 2017 at 5:06:41 AM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 76
Posts: 12501
Quote: AZDuffman
Nancy Pelosi Says She Can’t Work With ‘President Bush’

Either she is completely lost her mind or they just uploaded an old speech and did not change the name since it is the same thing the Democrats say whenever a Republican is elected. She might think it is still 1989 for all we know.


Its one thing to have a slip of the tongue
Its another thing to completely lie about a fake massacre over and over
Alternative facts?

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/times-kellyanne-conway-referenced-bowling-green-massacre-attack/story?id=45311574
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
February 7th, 2017 at 5:15:48 AM permalink
ams288
Member since: Apr 21, 2016
Threads: 29
Posts: 13466
Quote: terapined
Quote: AZDuffman
Nancy Pelosi Says She Can’t Work With ‘President Bush’

Either she is completely lost her mind or they just uploaded an old speech and did not change the name since it is the same thing the Democrats say whenever a Republican is elected. She might think it is still 1989 for all we know.


Its one thing to have a slip of the tongue
Its another thing to completely lie about a fake massacre over and over
Alternative facts?

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/times-kellyanne-conway-referenced-bowling-green-massacre-attack/story?id=45311574


It's the Obama 57 states thing all over again.

When righties get exhausted from constantly having to defend the morons on their side, they will look for any simple slip of the tongue and latch onto it.
“A straight man will not go for kids.” - AZDuffman