Airbus 350 very slow delivery rate

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May 9th, 2016 at 12:31:10 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: DRich
My wife is booked on a Thomas Cook A330-200 but it doesn't have a first class set up like pictured above. I believe the front is 2-3-2 seating and the main cabin is 2-4-2 as pictured above.


Yes the front is 7 rows of 2-3-2 or 49 seats Premium Economy
The back is 273 seats Economy (mostly 2-4-2).
Most of them are 17.5 to 7.5 years old, but they have one new one that is only 2.5 years old.
May 9th, 2016 at 5:31:03 PM permalink
kenarman
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 14
Posts: 4515
A flight with a 380 just started up from Heathrow to YVR. Probably BA but I am not sure.
"but if you make yourselves sheep, the wolves will eat you." Benjamin Franklin
May 9th, 2016 at 7:53:29 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: kenarman
A flight with a 380 just started up from Heathrow to YVR. Probably BA but I am not sure.


It would have to be. There are four airlines flying from Vancouver to London. Two off price Canadian airlines are flying to Gatwick, Westjet has 4 Boeing 767-300ERs and Air Transat has 14 Airbus A330s.

British Airways and Air Canada are competing to fly to Heathrow. British Airways has found the A380 competitive if it is flying once a day to a city. The extra seats and the cachet help them compete. BA will probably never fly an A380 from LHR to JFK as businessmen are very interested in having multiple fights per day for flexibility.

Construction numbers #200-#222 are destined to go to Emirates with the exception of #215 which is designated for the 12th and final British Airways Delivery. So I expect it to be delivered this summer. BA seem happy with them, but not enough to buy another new one.Although no A380 has ever been sold on the secondary used market, BA has indicated that they would be interested.

European use of the A380
14 LUFTHANSA has taken delivery of all 14
10 AIR FRANCE has taken delivery of 10, but is deferring it's last 2 possibly forever
11 BRITISH AIRWAYS will receive it's 12th and final one this summer
VIRGIN ATLANTIC ordered 6 in the year 2000, but has delayed delivery multiple times
AMEDEO is a charter company, and has ordered 20 planes subject to finding a client. This is one of those orders that seems ridiculous, but it indicates a sale on Airbus order book
June 21st, 2016 at 6:20:50 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Pacomartin
Only five A350s delivered so far this year. The goal was to be about 50 aircraft delivered by the end of the year. It seems like Airbus is having serious production problems.

026	Airbus A350-941	9V-SMA	Singapore Airlines	26. Feb 2016	Active	F-WZFU	
012 Airbus A350-941 A7-ALH Qatar Airways 07. Mar 2016 Active F-WZFG
022 Airbus A350-941 OH-LWD Finnair 25. Mar 2016 Active F-WZFQ
030 Airbus A350-941 9V-SMB Singapore Airlines 20. Apr 2016 Active F-WZFY
023 Airbus A350-941 OH-LWE Finnair 29. Apr 2016 Active F-WZFR



Five more in May, but none so far in June.

029	Airbus A350-941	B-LRA	Cathay Pacific	27. May 2016	Active	F-WZFX	lsf AerCap
031 Airbus A350-941 9V-SMC Singapore Airlines 27. May 2016 Active F-WZFZ
035 Airbus A350-941 PR-XTC LATAM Airlines Brasil 18. May 2016 Active F-WZGD
024 Airbus A350-941 PR-XTA LATAM Airlines Brasil 05. May 2016 Active F-WZFS
027 Airbus A350-941 PR-XTB LATAM Airlines Brasil 05. May 2016 Active F-WZFV


It looks like Boeing still has the crown for widebodies for their centennial.

June 21st, 2016 at 4:18:00 PM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 346
Posts: 12545
It's almost as if major clean-slate designs are cursed (cue spooky music).

First the B-787 had battery fires. Now the A350 is having production problems.

Lucky for Airbus, but not so Boeing, customers can't just take their business elsewhere (they can, but not "just"). I mean, what's the wait time on a 787-9/10 or a 777 if an order is placed today? Years?

You can buy used wide bodies, but only so many. And these won't have either the range, capacity and/or fuel economy of the A350. Likewise fro keeping on older models.
Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER
June 21st, 2016 at 8:39:27 PM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Nareed
I mean, what's the wait time on a 787-9/10 or a 777 if an order is placed today? Years?


The Boeing 787 Dreamliner had 99 orders in 2015 and 28 cancellations. A total of 135 were delivered and 779 orders are unfulfilled. That would suggest that the wait time is almost 6 years.

I wonder if this one is fancier than the President of Mexico's Dreamliner.
June 22nd, 2016 at 6:28:45 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 346
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Quote: Pacomartin
The Boeing 787 Dreamliner had 99 orders in 2015 and 28 cancellations. A total of 135 were delivered and 779 orders are unfulfilled. That would suggest that the wait time is almost 6 years.


There you are. An airline expecting a bunch of A350s in 2017, which it might get by 2018, can't just walk out of Toulouse and place and order in Seattle.

I wonder, though, whether some of the bigger airlines expecting a lot of A350s might bid other airlines for their few operational A350s, or just to let them cut in line in the order queue, or snap up older wide bodies as soon as they can.

Quote:
I wonder if this one is fancier than the President of Mexico's Dreamliner.


Probably much.
Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER
June 22nd, 2016 at 8:29:17 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Nareed
I wonder, though, whether some of the bigger airlines expecting a lot of A350s might bid other airlines for their few operational A350s, or just to let them cut in line in the order queue, or snap up older wide bodies as soon as they can.


My understanding is that there is a standard clause in plane orders where the airline is compensated for each day late in the delivery. Emirates has picked up some deliveries on the A380 (like when Transaero went bankrupt, or when the Irish leasing agency couldn't find anyone to lease an A380).


Quote: BBC NEWS Friday, 14 May, 2004
The 555-seater super airliner is expected to revolutionise the airline industry and could lead to a doubling in Airbus' profits, some experts say.
...
Boeing, which in 2001 pulled out of the race to build the world's biggest airliner, says the market for very large aircraft is much smaller than Airbus thinks. Instead, Boeing has decided to target the middle of the aircraft market where it thinks growth will come in the future. Its 7E7 Dreamliner was launched in April.


The old crystal ball was a little cloudy 12 years ago.
June 22nd, 2016 at 8:48:40 AM permalink
Nareed
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 346
Posts: 12545
Quote: Pacomartin
My understanding is that there is a standard clause in plane orders where the airline is compensated for each day late in the delivery.


That's nice. But it can't take the place of growth. For compensating higher maintenance and fuel costs, though, it might help or even turn a profit in some cases (depends on how low oil gets and how much Airbus pays). Also, I suppose Airbus can negotiate a discount in exchange for a payment.

Quote:
Emirates has picked up some deliveries on the A380 (like when Transaero went bankrupt, or when the Irish leasing agency couldn't find anyone to lease an A380).


I'm sure there's a joke here with planes as phallic symbols :)

Quote:
The old crystal ball was a little cloudy 12 years ago.


"It's hard to make predictions. Especially about the future." I think this is attributed to Ray Bradbury.
Donald Trump is a one-term LOSER
June 22nd, 2016 at 9:23:59 AM permalink
Pacomartin
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 1068
Posts: 12569
Quote: Nareed
"It's hard to make predictions. Especially about the future." I think this is attributed to Ray Bradbury.


Quote Investigator has a lengthy article on that one.
http://quoteinvestigator.com/2013/10/20/no-predict/

Airbus never believed that they would make A380s at over 11 per month (like Boeing Dreamliner), but they did think they could produce one per week instead of 2 per month.

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced global passenger traffic results for 2015 showing demand (revenue passenger kilometers or RPKs) rose 6.5% for the full year compared to 2014. This was the strongest result since the post-Global Financial Crisis rebound in 2010 and well above the 10-year average annual growth rate of 5.5%.
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