2018 Dead Pool

Page 72 of 72« First<69707172
December 20th, 2018 at 11:48:49 AM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 23, 2012
Threads: 239
Posts: 6095
Quote: JimRockford
Truthfully, you have a spreadsheet of about 100 names with age, probably of death and expected score for each don't you?


Not for a $20 bet I didn't. In fact, putting Chumlee's name was a terrible idea. I looked into this before, but I think your expected points are maximized picking men around age 93.
Knowledge is Good -- Emil Faber
December 20th, 2018 at 1:43:44 PM permalink
SOOPOO
Member since: Feb 19, 2014
Threads: 22
Posts: 4157
Quote: Wizard
Not for a $20 bet I didn't. In fact, putting Chumlee's name was a terrible idea. I looked into this before, but I think your expected points are maximized picking men around age 93.


That's only if you do not have any other information. If you know someone has a particularly grim diagnosis, like McCain had, age is not an important factor.
December 20th, 2018 at 4:25:50 PM permalink
Ayecarumba
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 89
Posts: 1744
Quote: SOOPOO
That's only if you do not have any other information. If you know someone has a particularly grim diagnosis, like McCain had, age is not an important factor.


HIPAA is making it harder to forecast.
December 20th, 2018 at 4:48:22 PM permalink
Wizard
Administrator
Member since: Oct 23, 2012
Threads: 239
Posts: 6095
Quote: SOOPOO
That's only if you do not have any other information. If you know someone has a particularly grim diagnosis, like McCain had, age is not an important factor.


That goes without saying. However, aside from McCain, I didn't bother to look into the health of the other nine. However, some big names I didn't put like Bush and Carter because I thought their chances of making it through another year were good.
Knowledge is Good -- Emil Faber
January 4th, 2019 at 10:54:51 AM permalink
JimRockford
Member since: Sep 18, 2015
Threads: 2
Posts: 971
It appears that Justin Bieber is still breathing so SOOPOO wins the 2018 $20 pool.
SOOPOO, how can we make good on our wagers?
The mind hungers for that on which it feeds.
January 5th, 2019 at 4:50:46 AM permalink
SOOPOO
Member since: Feb 19, 2014
Threads: 22
Posts: 4157
Quote: JimRockford
It appears that Justin Bieber is still breathing so SOOPOO wins the 2018 $20 pool.
SOOPOO, how can we make good on our wagers?


I just received a check from petroglyph. I guess I can accept cash, check, or Amazon gift card code. Whatever you want. PM me your choice and we will arrange.
January 7th, 2019 at 5:48:09 AM permalink
terapined
Member since: Aug 6, 2014
Threads: 73
Posts: 11786
Quote: SOOPOO
I just received a check from petroglyph. I guess I can accept cash, check, or Amazon gift card code. Whatever you want. PM me your choice and we will arrange.



I paid SOOPOO off
I expected the winner to PM me
I saw JimRockford's post, reached out to SOOPOO and took care of him
Sometimes we live no particular way but our own - Grateful Dead "Eyes of the World"
May 13th, 2020 at 8:53:31 PM permalink
rxwine
Member since: Oct 24, 2012
Threads: 188
Posts: 18633
Last chance to dance.

You believe in an invisible god, and dismiss people who say they are trans? Really?
June 3rd, 2023 at 11:54:15 PM permalink
1nickelmiracle
Member since: Mar 5, 2013
Threads: 24
Posts: 623
Did the death pool threads die so long ago? I was shocked by Jerry Springer passing. I felt good knowing he was still alive. He was a lot smarter than a lot gave credit.
Page 72 of 72« First<69707172