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counties where births <deaths
| March 26th, 2016 at 5:36:07 AM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 | Leaving out international and domestic immigration for how, roughly 1 in 3 counties have a negative natural increase. July 1, 2014 to July 1, 2015 2089 counties Births > Deaths (natural increase) 1022 counties Births < Deaths (natural decrease) 24 counties Births = Deaths (no natural change) With immigration included 1601 counties got bigger, and 1541 didn't get bigger Clark County, Nevada 26,841 births 15,447 deaths 11,394 births-deaths (natural increase) +7,903 international immigration +24,901 domestic immigration +32,804 net immigration +45,655 total population change = births-deaths + net immigration How did your county do, and how do you feel about it? http://www.census.gov/popest/data/counties/totals/2015/CO-EST2015-04.html |
| March 26th, 2016 at 6:04:42 AM permalink | |
| AZDuffman Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 135 Posts: 18221 | Mine is down a touch. Fine by me, we are at a nice population right now, no need for more. The President is a fink. |
| March 26th, 2016 at 10:11:09 AM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
Northampton County, Pennsylvania +2,857 births -2,841 deaths +16 natural increase +740 international immigrants -366 domestic immigrants +374 net immigrants 374+16=390 641 Total population change (residual 251) Total population change includes a residual. This residual represents the change in population that cannot be attributed to any specific demographic component. It seems like people are leaving the county and international immigrants are coming in. Not really a good sign. |
| March 26th, 2016 at 12:34:11 PM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25013 |
In half the counties in MI that's happening. People are moving away in droves and are being replaced by international migrants. More than half of MI counties had a negative population growth in the last 5 years. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| March 26th, 2016 at 5:16:05 PM permalink | |
| AZDuffman Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 135 Posts: 18221 |
Been the case for decades in the northeast. Since the 1970s for the most part. Once the sunbelt became the place to be people started leaving. It can be nice for those left behind as cost of living stays reasonable. In some places they are thinning down the housing stock and once cramped areas are now seeing houses get actual yards. OTOH, it cannot go on like that forever. I have seen so many towns that are just plain dead. No chance for young folks to make their way. 15 years ago, in the pre-fracking era, I remember hearing that some counties in North Dakota were getting so empty they were ready to abandon them and make huge buffalo and wildlife reserves. It may still happen in some areas as parts of the American Great Plains were really not made to be inhabited. The President is a fink. |
| March 27th, 2016 at 11:42:50 AM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
It's getting worse in the last year. About half the counties had a positive natural growth rate, but because of domestic migration only only a third of the counties had a positive growth rate. Foreign immigration only replaced 2 out of 3 domestic emigration. Wayne county had almost 6K more births than deaths but far more than that moved away. Births-Deaths (no migration) -180 Roscommon County, Michigan -148 Cheboygan County, Michigan -146 Huron County, Michigan -140 Iosco County, Michigan -117 Manistee County, Michigan -114 Gladwin County, Michigan -106 Bay County, Michigan -102 Alcona County, Michigan -97 Ogemaw County, Michigan -96 Iron County, Michigan -96 Montmorency County, Michigan -95 Gogebic County, Michigan -89 Presque Isle County, Michigan -87 Arenac County, Michigan -80 Ontonagon County, Michigan -80 Tuscola County, Michigan -72 Clare County, Michigan -69 Alpena County, Michigan -65 St. Clair County, Michigan -53 Delta County, Michigan -51 Antrim County, Michigan -50 Otsego County, Michigan -45 Alger County, Michigan -45 Oscoda County, Michigan -44 Crawford County, Michigan -44 Marquette County, Michigan -42 Lake County, Michigan -42 Luce County, Michigan -41 Schoolcraft County, Michigan -40 Charlevoix County, Michigan -37 Sanilac County, Michigan -36 Leelanau County, Michigan -34 Mackinac County, Michigan -33 Benzie County, Michigan -25 Gratiot County, Michigan -24 Baraga County, Michigan -22 Menominee County, Michigan -21 Dickinson County, Michigan -20 Lapeer County, Michigan -12 Mason County, Michigan -3 Chippewa County, Michigan -1 Kalkaska County, Michigan 1 Keweenaw County, Michigan 3 Cass County, Michigan 3 Missaukee County, Michigan 5 Emmet County, Michigan 22 Oceana County, Michigan 25 Houghton County, Michigan 31 Osceola County, Michigan 41 Newaygo County, Michigan 47 Barry County, Michigan 48 Shiawassee County, Michigan 54 Mecosta County, Michigan 120 Hillsdale County, Michigan 120 Wexford County, Michigan 130 Lenawee County, Michigan 138 Midland County, Michigan 141 Van Buren County, Michigan 159 Jackson County, Michigan 167 Montcalm County, Michigan 168 Branch County, Michigan 175 Monroe County, Michigan 182 Grand Traverse County, Michigan 211 Saginaw County, Michigan 213 Eaton County, Michigan 225 Isabella County, Michigan 252 Berrien County, Michigan 255 Clinton County, Michigan 258 Ionia County, Michigan 291 St. Joseph County, Michigan 322 Livingston County, Michigan 338 Calhoun County, Michigan 464 Muskegon County, Michigan 484 Allegan County, Michigan 633 Genesee County, Michigan 1,102 Kalamazoo County, Michigan 1,211 Ingham County, Michigan 1,418 Macomb County, Michigan 1,516 Washtenaw County, Michigan 1,746 Ottawa County, Michigan 3,286 Oakland County, Michigan 4,588 Kent County, Michigan 5,850 Wayne County, Michigan |
| March 27th, 2016 at 12:00:19 PM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25013 |
The eastern part of the state is where it's the worst. I live in W MI, sometimes called the best kept secret in MI. The weather here for 8 months of the year is very nice. Rarely humid, lots of hills and valleys and rolling tree covered countryside. We're very close to Lake MI and some very attractive resort towns. The eastern side of the state is an eyesore, flat as a pancake and stuffed with people I mostly want nothing to do with. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| March 27th, 2016 at 2:04:49 PM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 |
Pennsylvania is completely divided. A total of 52 counties are under the Appalachian Regional Commission (although it is not central Appalachia). Out of those 52 counties 9 have positive natural increase and only 8 have increase including migration. Eastern Pennsylvania Poconos has long been a retreat for New Yorkers (similar to the Catskills in New York State), but the Western Pennsylvania is trying to develop upscale golf resorts that most people fly to. Nemocalin is the biggest.  The other 15 counties that are outside of Appalachia in SE of state are all growing (both natural and total immigration). These counties have half the pop of the state. The 15 counties are below. Births-Deaths 16 Northampton County, Pennsylvania 93 Bucks County, Pennsylvania 99 Adams County, Pennsylvania 160 Lebanon County, Pennsylvania 321 Franklin County, Pennsylvania 460 Cumberland County, Pennsylvania 983 Lehigh County, Pennsylvania 1028 Dauphin County, Pennsylvania 1161 York County, Pennsylvania 1226 Berks County, Pennsylvania 1335 Delaware County, Pennsylvania 1353 Montgomery County, Pennsylvania 1626 Chester County, Pennsylvania 2431 Lancaster County, Pennsylvania 7522 Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania The big demographic news in PA for the last decade is that Philadelphia is finally growing after 6 decades of declining population. Births outnumber deaths, and international immigrants are finally offsetting domestic emigration. Outside of Detroit and Chicago, Philadelphia is one of the largest traditional black and white cities. So they are finally building up a Latino and Asian population. |
| March 27th, 2016 at 2:32:27 PM permalink | |
| Evenbob Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 146 Posts: 25013 |
PA has a lot of great county names. We're stuck a ton of goofball Indian names, after the tribes in the area. Not too tough to pick them out. Shiawassee? Keweenaw? Menominee? On and on.. If you take a risk, you may lose. If you never take a risk, you will always lose. |
| March 30th, 2016 at 2:56:44 AM permalink | |
| Pacomartin Member since: Oct 24, 2012 Threads: 1068 Posts: 12569 | Here is a summary of counties by state which have a natural increase (births-deaths). Maine is only 3 counties out of 16. Pennsylvania is only 9 counties out of 52 in Appalachia, and 15 out of 15 elsewhere. Utah is very fertile.   Michigan to Virginia is break point where counties with natural increase outnumber counties with natural decrease.
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